The real truth is very simple. When your child asks you what it takes to be rich and famous and asks for a guarantee can you give it, can you? Of course you can't. You can tell them the right things to do, but you can not guarantee it. The world is too complex, there are too many factors at play and so it is with the planet we really are not quite sure what will happen we can guess. Societies collapse they always have and they will. There are huge numbers of people on the planet and increasing; there will surely be some payback for christ sake economists do we ever get free rides? Are you assuming we will have a free ride on this planet can that really be the case?
The myopia of the papers so obsessed with one report, with global warming misses the larger point.
Man to live requires:
1) Water
2) Oxygen
3) Food
4) Land
Advanced civilisation is more fragile and requires:
1) Fuel which are FOSSIL, meaning they come from ancient remains, meaning they run out. Why do people use the term fossil and not think; argue about when, they will run out we really will never precisely know when we just have to take sensible decisions now to minimise the impact.
2) Highly educated population.
3) An interconnected planet, people moving, resources moving
As population numbers increase stress is placed on the other areas making our survival more challenging, however, if global warming doesn't occur we will still have a huge problem supporting our population as ground water runs out as we over farm the land and over fish the seas and resources diminish as they are fossil after all.
We argue about precise figures let's just be sensible. Why is thinking deeply so hard, were we not created for thinking so we avoid it as soon as we leave university? Why do intelligent people not think, not read, not consider? It is so damnable obvious. 6 billion and increasing, never before seen on planet earth, what will they eat, where will they go, where is the fuel coming from, where is the water coming from?
We are not quite sure why the jet streams move, the world could get warmer but one of them permanently moves and and an area of the world will have more water, we are just not sure, it is too complex however, let's be sensible do the commonsense things and look at the whole of the problem.
The Islamic world, how can we help them? They are bringing about their own Armageddon. Oil is their curse, their populations are increasing the ground water will run out, they need an agricultural miracle otherwise when the world turns away as the FOSSIL fuels diminish which they surely will, assuming no change in climate best case, then they will not be able to feed their populations, their radicalism means they will not be accepted in neighbouring countries, they will perish. In turning to radical Islam they are bringing about Armageddon, it impoverishes them intellectually, economically and ensures their populations become too vast. Perhaps a change in the jet stream will save them, perhaps they will be able to invade a country and usurp the locals, Russia is empty and agriculturally rich, perhaps world food production will rise. If they don't get lucky with one of the above they will die in their millions.
God help them.
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